Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9975a9d4d61bf8b0cd5d0413c7d3462c53a06bab0101bf16347f88652f6e56c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 12c | 9,413$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 11c | 9,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 10c | 2,876$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 8c | 823.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 8c | 613.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 16c | 308.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 258.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 8c | 203.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +176.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…d663backed Yes | 10c | 169.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes | 10c | 161.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 143.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…34c7backed Yes | 11c | 138.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…3612backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-14?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.