Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6eaa56fadd07af61cd8952a081bf972b321c1a945300e9dffef36f58a4ecedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b46…a12fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,778$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 3,671$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.75 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 55c | 3,442$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.01 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 70c | 3,435$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.86 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 21c | 1,182$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 972.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 56c | 868.14$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 60c | 835.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…2a58backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 499.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 29c | 417$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 308.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 38c | 290.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…7bc3backed Yes | 44c | 184.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 36c | 146.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 56c | 107.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 56c | 88.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 43c | 69.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b502backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 44c | 50.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?No won
- Will the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.