Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e5aecbff7959de7b676b1626b29f55aad8ee7e620b1da5b7fbe5c99f9b57f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 78c | 1,378$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 20c | 988.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed No | 70c | 717.83$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 70c | 503.57$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 318.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 30c | 289.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 29c | 245.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 68c | 224.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1935backed Yes | 27c | 221.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 70c | 220.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 70c | 186.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 72c | 171.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 32c | 157.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 146.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…bdadbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +730.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…0dfbbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 19c | 68.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…9813backed Yes | 30c | 36.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c1…3092backed Yes | 31c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat Bayer Leverkusen?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?Yes won
- Will the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.