TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Suns, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Magic45c36,421$16,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,100.4615056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…d647backed Suns18c6,880$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2535658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic42c6,166$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns49c5,021$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.381,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Suns64c4,666$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.3919137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Magic53c3,962$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.138561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns17c3,751$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.261,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Magic56c3,514$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.366253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Magic25c3,048$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.2129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Suns45c2,993$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.874949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic42c2,874$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.011,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa099…b806backed Magic35c2,752$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Suns62c2,739$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Suns74c2,693$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Suns79c2,634$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.6812563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Magic55c2,576$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.4270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns21c2,468$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.8534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns33c2,313$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.4665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Suns5c2,278$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.745135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Magic44c2,277$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.9729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Suns46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick65cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Magic32c1,875$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27527739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd978…7dd9backed Suns3c1,673$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns34c1,640$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Magic34c1,400$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.8126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Magic46c1,370$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.36634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Suns45c1,340$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.034348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Suns70c1,269$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.4437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Suns57c1,263$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7191,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Suns63c1,140$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Suns54c1,118$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.4836423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns44c1,081$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.721,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…3739backed Suns74c1,034$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a0…2ab4backed Magic37c1,025$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.513953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Magic55c999.96$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Magic46c992.18$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.477741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Suns52c840.18$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.3416345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Magic52c836.53$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8811150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Magic42c788.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.743345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Suns51c781.53$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns29c774.24$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Suns54c729.72$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.519052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Suns62c675.73$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.825957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Suns54c630$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Suns45c592.33$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic53c587.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.719642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d36…e1a8backed Suns10c566.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542313%3 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Magic52c544.34$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Magic48c499.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Magic55c449.41$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.414341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e2…e0debacked Suns61c446.45$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89de…f09cbacked Suns50c420.01$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…bb26backed Suns62c405.56$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.73745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Magic37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2523129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56dd…5d25backed Magic55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Suns44c399.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.994835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Suns63c377.72$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Magic55c366.67$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic49c337.93$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.381,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279d…bc0ebacked Suns56c337.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.311838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5755…d1babacked Suns75c336.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.36560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed Magic52c336.21$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.381172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+72.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Suns46c333.68$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.294443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Magic42c325.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.746426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Suns48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Suns63c291.44$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Suns47c278.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Magic38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.164344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db4…487abacked Magic38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Magic37c260$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8848137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Suns28c250$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5a…b299backed Magic41c249.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns77c240.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0438942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Magic46c234.7$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.083036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic41c230.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Magic52c230.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75da…4688backed Magic39c230$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.31435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131d…8df5backed Suns12c224.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.653053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Suns48c220.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7220248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Suns71c219.56$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2123548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Suns46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Suns47c217$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.622955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Magic53c211.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.017363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns7c210$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc152…3475backed Suns48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Suns46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9240448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Magic55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc0…4da8backed Suns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Magic56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Suns10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Suns57c190.8$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.771338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39f7…a0b8backed Suns57c190.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Magic52c189.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6217244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33be…c239backed Magic55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d74…b1ffbacked Suns45c179.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278b…8181backed Magic55c179.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x427b…eb4bbacked Suns48c152$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Magic54c147.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9624462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70a…6de8backed Suns65c142.75$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.298460.7%51 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Suns43c141.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9427631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.