Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d80f3cc8a956370bd2b90a003f85172f9747a7cbd46244e419657330e53a6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8a6…61ffbacked No | 36c | 1,402$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 35c | 788.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.48per pick | 41cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 53c | 633.4$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 47c | 616.15$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 36c | 541.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.49 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b3…fd35backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed No | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 65c | 465.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 66c | 419.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…a10abacked Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 67c | 345.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 34c | 286.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 72c | 249.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 25c | 222$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 65c | 188.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 33c | 184.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 34c | 183.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 65c | 178.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 30c | 165.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 35c | 156.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…4711backed Yes | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…74eabacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 65c | 152.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…5ab3backed No | 39c | 142.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Yes | 66c | 101.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 66c | 100.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…6cdebacked Yes | 64c | 94.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 67c | 85.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…62e7backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…a645backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 35c | 58.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 67c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…be0bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…eda3backed Yes | 65c | 25.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…a041backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…3e62backed Yes | 67c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Feyenoord?Yes won
- Will the match between Feyenoord and RB Salzburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.