Champions League · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462819093e60aaa9d87cd7cbbaeb613275bf02edf557cf77339cef06ea5fc5a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 2,752$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.64 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,839$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.31 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 61c | 1,263$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 77c | 879.79$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 39c | 831.97$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.47 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 813.92$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 71c | 475.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 443.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Over | 58c | 272.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Over | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 42c | 140.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 40c | 91.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 41c | 87.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 68.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 58c | 63.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5376backed Under | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…c479backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Over | 76c | 32.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 28.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.