Champions League · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6c12aaff4dfbc650295ab8061b06e0c505e8df6a16b87a2bb3ae364f4447f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 818.22$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 681.91$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 430$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 51c | 226$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 32c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…ac01backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 136.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 106.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 89.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 33c | 42.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…515bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.