Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic beat Young Boys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11c93c86c42c37f8cc3dbf97dd237448da96c0d340711dcee77f3d478c31a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 31c | 7,781$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.41 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 75c | 4,030$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.57 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 63c | 2,751$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.61 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,494$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.66 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,237$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,050$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…79ddbacked No | 18c | 1,406$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 23c | 820.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 76c | 773.69$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 71c | 687.08$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 36c | 650$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 80c | 436.46$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed No | 20c | 309.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 71c | 241$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 64c | 155.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 76c | 138.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 23c | 133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…0df9backed No | 24c | 102.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…9e8ebacked Yes | 77c | 102$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 24c | 99.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe609…47bfbacked No | 24c | 97.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…05e9backed Yes | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 75c | 73.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 30c | 67.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 24c | 61.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 26c | 52.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…ce52backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…8dd7backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…96c7backed Yes | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…109abacked No | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Yes | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…b47dbacked Yes | 77c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 61c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…dc9ebacked Yes | 72c | 31.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…9c9fbacked Yes | 71c | 31.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…d460backed Yes | 75c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…f331backed Yes | 73c | 28.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…5d39backed Yes | 73c | 26.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…6d4fbacked Yes | 74c | 25.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…16bebacked Yes | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b18abacked Yes | 75c | 22.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…df5ebacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…cd76backed Yes | 75c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…ceb0backed Yes | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…9be9backed Yes | 74c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…bb72backed Yes | 72c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…4d1fbacked Yes | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic beat Young Boys?this page
- Will Young Boys beat Celtic?No won
- Will the match between Celtic and Young Boys end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.