Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4612651bc37e2c1523d98f468d58a7eeb62d7c8e6777ed9e45f490cae00c9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 8,710$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 78c | 7,487$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.14 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 38c | 3,526$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.32 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,925$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.72 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 79c | 1,714$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.85 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 21c | 1,456$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 1,342$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 39c | 1,268$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,259$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.13 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 1,106$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.82 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 934$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 79c | 827$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.67 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 14c | 691.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 25c | 624.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 530$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 22c | 445.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 9c | 438.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 39c | 410$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 64c | 312.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 21c | 306.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 78c | 266.07$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…f588backed No | 65c | 263.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 20c | 245.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 6c | 194$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…080abacked Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 151.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 137.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 21c | 103.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Yes | 35c | 103.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…651fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 61c | 86.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 25c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…01b0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ffbacked Yes | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 32.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 79c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 63c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…4fb5backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…984abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 76c | 22.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 59c | 19.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…cd4bbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 79c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.