Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e840a2392084e478f9d2797f107954c0e2b6c1cec74bb62c19574639a2fc7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef72…5295backed Yes | 15c | 6,381$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 5,100$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 3,894$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 14c | 2,263$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 17c | 1,981$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 14c | 1,456$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 764$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 704.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 15c | 670.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 14c | 642.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 9c | 610$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 14c | 597$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 14c | 595.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 500.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 14c | 386.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 6c | 315.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 222.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 14c | 181.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…080abacked Yes | 14c | 165$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 13c | 149.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 12c | 146.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 15c | 134.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 126.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…1b00backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…06e7backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…a270backed Yes | 15c | 67.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.