TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No1c46,210$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No1c27,304$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.262437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes57c20,147$11,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,663.115848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No50c14,110$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.7113748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No66c7,421$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8989749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c6,046$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.7676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No1c5,762$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c3,131$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.4149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No65c2,913$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.125145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed1…d0ecbacked Yes35c2,910$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c2,905$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.2440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes35c2,746$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.712642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes35c2,256$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.8184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes48c2,004$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.0474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No7c1,971$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.981,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No64c1,741$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.476262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No65c1,673$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4815757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes35c1,625$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.271861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed No65c1,506$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9791973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c1,466$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No51c1,419$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.831,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes43c1,274$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.1961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes68c1,144$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.41752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes33c999.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9915233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No17c923.25$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.954369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No66c893.9$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9711265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No65c882.62$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.71,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes34c859.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No60c812.46$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5712561.6%77 W · 48 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c791.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.282,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c782.81$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c781.18$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.871,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No65c760.33$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.213641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed No65c753.08$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.54348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed No67c735.64$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No16c699.06$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes34c696.6$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.763043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes35c678.15$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.85942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes36c667.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.383847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes35c648.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.66737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…77fdbacked No10c625.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No21c573.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6313948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes35c571$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1554128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes35c569.47$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.168943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes34c561$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes36c534.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.97525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes34c500$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7918352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No49c494.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2427552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No65c489.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No65c451.85$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.74959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No65c450.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7218156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c413.6$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.961,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes34c408.16$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked No17c389.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.183847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes38c371.55$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes36c347.24$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.247742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes34c334.82$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9846651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No65c323.06$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9916858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes35c315.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.241546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes41c307.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.23237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No18c305.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No67c296.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.985050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes34c289.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes40c286.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes35c285.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.717427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No5c282.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1510924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Yes34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes34c265.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No37c262.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes35c247.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.625225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No49c237.62$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3339555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed No66c224.16$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.91656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes49c212.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4348950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No66c207.9$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2116454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed No66c202.6$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7210029%29 W · 71 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6ae…0df4backed Yes58c200.4$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No67c196.04$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.356051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No39c192.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.551258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ecb…26a9backed No65c185.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes34c183.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.185648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes33c179.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.251,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No66c170.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No65c165.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6913552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes35c161.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.656147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No45c160.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.067829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed Yes35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed No65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92475%18 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed No65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.94468.2%30 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.925057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b2…2c4abacked No65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No64c149.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9814654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No65c145.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7114354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked No9c144.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.728937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes36c144.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111433.3%38 W · 76 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No65c139.48$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.24825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-43.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.249961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.