Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ba6ac076b4384b4f52028166b70c394d69fbda57a78456c64d3e02ffb0ff01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 41c | 12,336$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303.39 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 1,943$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.16 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,083$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…799cbacked Yes | 53c | 938.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 60c | 916.66$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 58c | 725.01$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 58c | 720.31$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 42c | 594.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.72 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 549.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.75 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Yes | 58c | 499.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 56c | 474.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 58c | 468.09$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 442$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 403.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.21 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 399.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 61c | 341$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 55c | 332.76$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 50c | 305.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 246.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 53c | 245.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 218.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 217.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 213.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 56c | 211.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 170.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 59c | 166.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 158.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 43c | 154.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 56c | 136$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 60c | 135$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 59c | 133.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 56c | 133.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 58c | 132.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Yes | 59c | 123.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 34c | 110.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 109.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 60c | 86.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 61c | 85.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 13c | 79.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 59c | 76.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Yes | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 56.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 54.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 41c | 49.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 26c | 46.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 48c | 46.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 58c | 45.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 37.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 59c | 36.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 59c | 36.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 47c | 35.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 33.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…276bbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 45c | 28.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…52abbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…d429backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 42c | 24.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Yes | 53c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 58c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…1979backed Yes | 58c | 22.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 62c | 16.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will St Joseph's FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.