Champions League · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f307a06f10cf63a5b538f751fc2dd01b55d86d3e78cc00b770f1f51c2e1957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,010$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.08 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf1…2504backed No | 60c | 1,079$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 906.41$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.78 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 77c | 837.38$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.79 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 26c | 587.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 22c | 509.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 78c | 480.52$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.52 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0600backed No | 58c | 478$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 21c | 350$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…6396backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 33c | 307.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 80c | 225$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 21c | 180$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 80c | 180$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…8e5fbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 145.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…6628backed Yes | 20c | 117.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 56c | 113.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 38c | 104.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 69.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 78c | 64.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 67c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?this page
- Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?No won
- Will the match between Stade Brestois and PSV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.