Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2119abdd8c8efb3b82dd3ec971951101cbedf439e81fe9894e6a17cea5a2a778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 57c | 4,037$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.49 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 46c | 3,814$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.46 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,104$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 43c | 749.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…bd61backed Yes | 59c | 617.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 54c | 615.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 56c | 483.28$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 27c | 389.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 57c | 351.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…03e5backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 44c | 215$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked No | 75c | 197.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 79c | 196.11$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…9cd8backed No | 44c | 183.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a87…b672backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…f70ebacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 44c | 132.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 44c | 113.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 29c | 108.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 29c | 106.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 59c | 90.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…44d3backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 54c | 78.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 29c | 69.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +730.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 57c | 40.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 45c | 38.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…4036backed Yes | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…c237backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?this page
- Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?Yes won
- Will the match between Stade Brestois and PSV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.