Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Kimberly Birrell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4658e01334f26eb390087f948964b973dc9caa38382d1e41f33726dbb8c0dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tjenof Tjen, Birrell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tjen | 77c | 5,181$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Birrell | 28c | 2,371$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.69 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 23c | 2,235$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Birrell | 18c | 2,225$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Birrell | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Birrell | 23c | 1,831$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.01 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947f…fb99backed Birrell | 36c | 1,387$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Birrell | 29c | 1,217$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 24c | 1,088$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…ddd6backed Tjen | 67c | 871$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…e2f5backed Birrell | 33c | 870$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…b0d0backed Birrell | 33c | 869$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…d06cbacked Tjen | 67c | 868$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…201cbacked Birrell | 33c | 761$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…08a0backed Tjen | 67c | 760$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…0495backed Tjen | 67c | 760$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…d595backed Birrell | 33c | 759$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Birrell | 21c | 632.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Birrell | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tjen | 64c | 528.96$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Birrell | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…e1d0backed Birrell | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tjen | 74c | 481.12$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Birrell | 26c | 430.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Birrell | 36c | 422.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Birrell | 15c | 394.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Tjen | 78c | 388.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Tjen | 74c | 353.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Tjen | 69c | 350$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tjen | 64c | 309.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Birrell | 31c | 307.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…873dbacked Tjen | 71c | 242$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Birrell | 28c | 217.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Tjen | 80c | 210.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed Birrell | 31c | 159.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Tjen | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tjen | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…740abacked Tjen | 76c | 137.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tjen | 78c | 127.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Birrell | 25c | 102.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Tjen | 68c | 86.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Birrell | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Tjen | 67c | 82.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Tjen | 71c | 81.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…a241backed Tjen | 74c | 79.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Tjen | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Tjen | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Tjen | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tjen | 64c | 56.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Birrell | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Tjen | 78c | 43.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Birrell | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Tjen | 78c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444f…0d49backed Tjen | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Tjen | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3c5fbacked Tjen | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Tjen | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Tjen | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Tjen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Tjen | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…fb7dbacked Tjen | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tjen | 64c | 25.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Tjen | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…540dbacked Tjen | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…c3acbacked Tjen | 68c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Tjen | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.