Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3458cf994f1423841da3ecd0084a46273ec20d7e7a1d85a246e465e9ce959b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 26c | 20,000$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 79c | 19,372$15,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.68 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 41c | 16,433$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,695.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 10,758$7,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.09 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 77c | 1,419$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 1,142$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 50c | 840.2$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 26c | 785.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 695.23$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…371cbacked Yes | 36c | 561.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 25c | 550$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 25c | 472.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked Yes | 43c | 469.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 79c | 453.75$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed No | 76c | 349.78$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 244.54$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 48c | 239.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…ce0fbacked No | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 203.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 64c | 189.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 75c | 160.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 25c | 155.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 75c | 149.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 19c | 126.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 20c | 103.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 77c | 97.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 81.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…097dbacked Yes | 25c | 78.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Yes | 25c | 64.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…35c2backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 24c | 62.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…8f99backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…fbc6backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +243.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…dd08backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…8a6bbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Yes | 25c | 40.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…5703backed No | 76c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed No | 77c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 77c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.