Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6bd25d44f113d5b4cf2e338c7f61516fdbe7c9e7a91edf7e972f251be89be74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 72c | 2,775$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.23 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 69c | 2,345$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.94 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,978$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 72c | 1,382$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 73c | 1,375$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,353$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf893…0832backed No | 74c | 1,341$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,308$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…94c4backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 21c | 995.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 30c | 820$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 807.87$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.81 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes | 28c | 691.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 646.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 29c | 349.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 30c | 331.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 31c | 322.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 30c | 260$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 253.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 28c | 222.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 29c | 210.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…472cbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 195.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 194.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 24c | 154.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 152.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 28c | 129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…7acfbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…8712backed No | 73c | 112.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…2929backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…8c3bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…c5c4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2832…8968backed No | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed No | 78c | 87.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…c7e5backed Yes | 28c | 73.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…5488backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Yes | 31c | 52.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…a03abacked Yes | 30c | 42.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked No | 79c | 42.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…8a6bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…ebcdbacked No | 79c | 38.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…d7afbacked Yes | 28c | 37.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 36.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 70c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…1bcebacked No | 70c | 32.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…9599backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…3768backed No | 79c | 14.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Barcelona?this page
- Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?Yes won
- Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.