Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Polina Iatcenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x552d5d175e5e8f6ba7f23cfae668483818293ecef26786cbbb8e693487a4dafe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tararudeeof Tararudee, Iatcenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Iatcenko | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.96 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Iatcenko | 4c | 10,920$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tararudee | 54c | 9,624$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.26 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tararudee | 53c | 7,364$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.44 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tararudee | 54c | 6,706$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iatcenko | 10c | 5,632$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Iatcenko | 34c | 4,055$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.86 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Iatcenko | 35c | 2,342$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iatcenko | 42c | 1,712$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Iatcenko | 21c | 1,530$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iatcenko | 31c | 1,485$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tararudee | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…93eebacked Iatcenko | 10c | 1,440$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…261cbacked Tararudee | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Iatcenko | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Iatcenko | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Tararudee | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Iatcenko | 50c | 852$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tararudee | 50c | 843$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Iatcenko | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Iatcenko | 13c | 455.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Iatcenko | 11c | 411.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…451bbacked Tararudee | 69c | 382.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Tararudee | 54c | 370.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Iatcenko | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tararudee | 54c | 321.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Tararudee | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Iatcenko | 53c | 232.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Iatcenko | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Iatcenko | 16c | 211.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Iatcenko | 13c | 205.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Iatcenko | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Iatcenko | 49c | 185.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Iatcenko | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…d827backed Tararudee | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Tararudee | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tararudee | 49c | 118.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Iatcenko | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Tararudee | 52c | 74.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tararudee | 49c | 68.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Tararudee | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Iatcenko | 41c | 58.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Iatcenko | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…d842backed Iatcenko | 56c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa619…dcd4backed Tararudee | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Tararudee | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.