CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327ff6068b88c21411eb6e4a613fd4f36a2b8901b04c7d267d92a7136bca1f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof GamerLegion, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 16,333$10,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.34 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed GamerLegion | 39c | 10,264$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.17 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked GamerLegion | 40c | 2,858$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.2 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 2,721$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.58 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 2,678$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed GamerLegion | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,946$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed GamerLegion | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked GamerLegion | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,703$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 1,252$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed GamerLegion | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GamerLegion | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 669$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed GamerLegion | 30c | 610$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed GamerLegion | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 585.79$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed GamerLegion | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed GamerLegion | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed GamerLegion | 15c | 416$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed GamerLegion | 15c | 397.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…8bd2backed GamerLegion | 39c | 385.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed GamerLegion | 19c | 363.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…67c8backed GamerLegion | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…7befbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked GamerLegion | 6c | 203.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 167.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 150.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 149.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 132$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed GamerLegion | 39c | 127.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 109.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed GamerLegion | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 80.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 79.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 18c | 76.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed GamerLegion | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 71.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 68.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed GamerLegion | 22c | 53.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed GamerLegion | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.