Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7db5604ce29babde6012d980aafb5c252bc61cc51ccd19ed65b56e29384464b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Los Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Los Heretics | 34c | 9,650$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +58%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 5,100$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 2,500$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Los Heretics | 5c | 2,350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Los Heretics | 30c | 2,202$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.09 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Karmine Corp Blue | 48c | 1,966$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.02 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…3fa6backed Los Heretics | 29c | 1,640$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked Los Heretics | 1c | 1,436$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 25c | 781.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.13 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 58c | 741.35$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.48 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Los Heretics | 29c | 583.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Karmine Corp Blue | 68c | 515$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 70c | 464.41$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…812fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8689backed Karmine Corp Blue | 63c | 374.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Los Heretics | 36c | 274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…ca74backed Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 240.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…fa8abacked Los Heretics | 55c | 221.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Karmine Corp Blue | 74c | 181.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 75c | 171.52$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Los Heretics | 25c | 142.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…557bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 140.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…d162backed Karmine Corp Blue | 73c | 123.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…f0ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…f246backed Los Heretics | 75c | 81.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Los Heretics | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…fea8backed Los Heretics | 40c | 77.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Los Heretics | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp Blue | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Los Heretics | 73c | 42.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Los Heretics | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccb…fd45backed Karmine Corp Blue | 55c | 25.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cb…0fefbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.