Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264fc66d5c15a0e1e229b1d434c104e7466b27801b3da87f87a3321344bbe61b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 3c | 4,166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 15c | 1,255$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Under | 76c | 238.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 37c | 214.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Under | 16c | 199.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Under | 47c | 199.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 33c | 181.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…9ed0backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)Karmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.