TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7a9…fea8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.43
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.62
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$109.92
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$154.89
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$96.26
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$166.92
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$113.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$94.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.1
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.75
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$64.07
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$199.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 3 Winnerbacked Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$31.15
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+76.5%+$117.63
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.5%+$52.14
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$36.18
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$64.49
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$77.96
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$38.02
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$65.79
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group Cbacked Vitality Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$27
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.41
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$30.82
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$74.55
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$156.91
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+113.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.