TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ReThinkof Lilmix, ReThink
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7460…de6ebacked ReThink43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.7843951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix57c3,218$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.5792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed ReThink42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.0566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lilmix55c2,266$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.865,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ReThink54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9718356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Lilmix45c1,157$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52414151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lilmix30c1,141$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.451,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lilmix57c1,080$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked ReThink45c897.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.137843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed ReThink47c856.91$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4633950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a9…5aa1backed Lilmix17c749.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.332218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked Lilmix43c698.52$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.986434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Lilmix25c697.02$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.217732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Lilmix55c619$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3932139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lilmix14c584.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.92,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Lilmix49c547.32$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6617545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked ReThink60c503.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.14158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed ReThink55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22537145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked ReThink66c440.9$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6675833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed ReThink44c399.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9938052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…0beabacked ReThink74c362.12$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.912759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Lilmix38c358.74$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.812,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7a9…fea8backed ReThink56c353.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.912147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ReThink46c350.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.515,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Lilmix57c330.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix26c307.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.554,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lilmix54c306.05$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.842,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…331dbacked ReThink71c297.96$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed ReThink41c294.08$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lilmix49c291.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.032,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3056…4fefbacked Lilmix46c290$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked ReThink54c280$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lilmix28c275.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.451,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ReThink73c275.22$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ReThink42c264.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3435839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ReThink44c261.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3948240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ReThink52c260.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.191,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f7…06eabacked Lilmix59c251.72$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.99944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Lilmix47c246$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Lilmix57c231.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0422049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix31c225.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.972,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Lilmix54c217.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ReThink61c217.85$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.453,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed ReThink44c215.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5836649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Lilmix30c215$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Lilmix47c212.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed ReThink47c211.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Lilmix38c207.77$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ReThink76c201.02$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.992,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed ReThink71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Lilmix58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9931761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed ReThink53c190.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0240449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Lilmix29c176.35$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6941050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked ReThink66c176.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.451,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Lilmix57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012157.9%70 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Lilmix55c171.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ReThink64c171.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6958745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked ReThink62c167.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.729154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Lilmix32c153.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.872,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed ReThink66c140.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6328434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed ReThink41c138.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8438739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ReThink61c132.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lilmix34c132.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked ReThink45c129.53$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0616236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked ReThink61c128.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4945238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ReThink69c127$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.745,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed Lilmix57c124.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.959849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed ReThink44c123$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8811151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked ReThink50c120.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.415350.3%77 W · 76 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked ReThink64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.549242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed ReThink45c116.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4929731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d8…0629backed Lilmix59c105.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0452…843cbacked ReThink65c103.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed Lilmix45c100.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.38758.6%51 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…6a04backed Lilmix45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.98542.4%36 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed ReThink42c99.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9413839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Lilmix35c99.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Lilmix62c99.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffde…cd13backed ReThink60c98.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ReThink61c97.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9313850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Lilmix52c97.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.037150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed ReThink67c97.43$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0352369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked ReThink78c97$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.341,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ReThink38c96.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.112,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Lilmix37c96.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.912,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ReThink52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.351,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed ReThink42c91.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lilmix22c87.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4967…63a6backed Lilmix24c86.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Lilmix56c80.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4334750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc39…f79bbacked Lilmix25c79.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed ReThink44c79.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.554257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Lilmix40c79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed ReThink42c78.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5744244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed ReThink65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6945754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed ReThink66c72.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Lilmix51c72.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8327248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed ReThink44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad7…6096backed Lilmix43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Lilmix57c68.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0826155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.