CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b10f1f4dd875a046bd40acb0d7b424099be3a4ebdf345b98a23e7e401294c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Lilmix, ReThink
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Lilmix | 61c | 2,344$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.3 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Lilmix | 51c | 1,737$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Lilmix | 53c | 1,386$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.7 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ReThink | 43c | 1,120$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed ReThink | 38c | 1,013$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked ReThink | 38c | 730.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed ReThink | 40c | 706.49$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.6 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed ReThink | 60c | 686.89$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Lilmix | 48c | 616.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Lilmix | 55c | 563.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ReThink | 51c | 550.11$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.94 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ReThink | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ReThink | 46c | 442.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ReThink | 51c | 387$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked Lilmix | 52c | 368.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.24 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…331dbacked Lilmix | 65c | 304.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ReThink | 52c | 293.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked Lilmix | 59c | 238.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed ReThink | 38c | 224.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ReThink | 33c | 220.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…c3a2backed Lilmix | 39c | 220.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ReThink | 53c | 210.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…b97bbacked ReThink | 51c | 194.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Lilmix | 42c | 193.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Lilmix | 57c | 189.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ReThink | 63c | 166$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed ReThink | 38c | 159.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 52c | 157.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Lilmix | 58c | 137.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…cd13backed ReThink | 29c | 129.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ReThink | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…5aa1backed Lilmix | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 19c | 105.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Lilmix | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lilmix | 61c | 94.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ReThink | 42c | 86.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…6f3cbacked ReThink | 49c | 82.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ReThink | 42c | 63.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed ReThink | 63c | 63.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed ReThink | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked ReThink | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Lilmix | 32c | 53.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lilmix | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lilmix | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lilmix | 31c | 43.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Lilmix | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Lilmix | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lilmix | 41c | 40.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…2b9fbacked Lilmix | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed ReThink | 69c | 38.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Lilmix | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ReThink | 53c | 34.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Lilmix | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Lilmix | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ReThink | 50c | 24.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…53d6backed ReThink | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group AReThink won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ReThink - Map 1 WinnerReThink won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.