CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs SAW (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c3b8cb3c0a84a0a7d84e7e167833e3c95da40112a9a7a9f4aa80097aaa2efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Liquid, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Liquid | 61c | 8,659$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.72 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed SAW | 29c | 6,308$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked SAW | 31c | 5,990$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.01 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Liquid | 70c | 4,207$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked SAW | 39c | 3,847$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.82 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Liquid | 35c | 2,676$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.07 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked SAW | 38c | 2,345$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.37 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Liquid | 72c | 2,019$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.01 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed SAW | 27c | 2,005$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Liquid | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Liquid | 72c | 1,458$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.06 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked SAW | 43c | 1,249$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.24 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SAW | 37c | 1,019$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.12 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed SAW | 38c | 1,016$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.44 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Liquid | 71c | 1,012$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.16 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Liquid | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SAW | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed SAW | 27c | 922.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.09 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Liquid | 63c | 888.76$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Liquid | 47c | 876$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.83 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked SAW | 27c | 778$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 73c | 642$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.87 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed SAW | 28c | 589.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid | 72c | 509$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.48 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked SAW | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed SAW | 16c | 469.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Liquid | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed SAW | 28c | 396$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed SAW | 40c | 378.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed SAW | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed SAW | 29c | 349.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Liquid | 73c | 342.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SAW | 61c | 316$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed SAW | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Liquid | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked SAW | 64c | 193.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed SAW | 21c | 180$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed SAW | 28c | 178.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed SAW | 38c | 174.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Liquid | 72c | 169$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Liquid | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SAW | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Liquid | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed Liquid | 72c | 109.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked SAW | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Liquid | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Liquid | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Liquid | 72c | 73.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Liquid | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SAW | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed SAW | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked Liquid | 79c | 44.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Liquid | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Liquid | 61c | 24.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…3f31backed Liquid | 60c | 20.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.