CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf267a29dd0dd198d217257b78cbf3bd2d9e9f804c436c75af84d31fcc6941c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,552$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.68 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,357$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Vitality | 55c | 908.77$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality | 44c | 904.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 51c | 812.26$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality | 2c | 580$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 43c | 468.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ | 58c | 440.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 325$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vitality | 28c | 278.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Vitality | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…d5d2backed MOUZ | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…124dbacked Vitality | 42c | 139.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 66.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 51c | 51.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked MOUZ | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Vitality | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed Vitality | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)MOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.