Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6898f484ae31a24515cb0469fc5ff587d3ee711b1aa7bceb230c91dee3808ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 30c | 9,682$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 79c | 9,446$7,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.01 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 2c | 8,767$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.84 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 2c | 5,376$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 0c | 5,196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…1745backed Yes | 19c | 5,174$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 3c | 5,062$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 4,952$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.67 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,472$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…505ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,187$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…63b0backed Yes | 17c | 4,123$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 13c | 4,001$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,817$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 77c | 3,152$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.65 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 15c | 3,075$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 77c | 2,800$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed No | 72c | 2,435$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,419$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.01 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 73c | 2,064$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.82 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 14c | 2,029$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…1120backed Yes | 15c | 1,989$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +1,941.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 19c | 1,945$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,925$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 24c | 1,901$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 69c | 1,782$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…1caebacked Yes | 12c | 1,700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 74c | 1,693$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…2e0ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,692$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 20c | 1,683$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 70c | 1,559$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,537$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…efb4backed Yes | 19c | 1,531$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 21c | 1,494$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 26c | 1,485$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 73c | 1,405$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…02aebacked Yes | 13c | 1,317$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,279$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 75c | 1,272$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b666backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…f78cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,172$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…e6afbacked Yes | 17c | 1,144$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 70c | 1,074$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.18 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 11c | 1,006$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 19c | 967.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 18c | 967.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 75c | 932.07$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…6973backed Yes | 23c | 855.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 14c | 836.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 21c | 814.35$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 14c | 784.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 73c | 783.11$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 74c | 770$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…4f7fbacked Yes | 23c | 762.51$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 19c | 752.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 73c | 740.02$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5e…4168backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 18c | 685.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…c5ecbacked Yes | 25c | 660.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed No | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…06a7backed Yes | 27c | 600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 24c | 497.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 24c | 463.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…c8cfbacked Yes | 29c | 437.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3f…0468backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 77c | 416.73$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…a119backed Yes | 22c | 399.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 23c | 397.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 16c | 385.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…b548backed Yes | 23c | 382.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 18c | 359.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 349.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…0d99backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 70c | 305.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…f3aabacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…6987backed Yes | 26c | 292.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…9d9cbacked Yes | 14c | 280.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…a121backed Yes | 39c | 258.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked No | 76c | 256.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 255.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…f41fbacked Yes | 21c | 245.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…346cbacked Yes | 13c | 227.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 71c | 220.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…877bbacked Yes | 14c | 219.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 24c | 217$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…5462backed Yes | 40c | 202.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.