Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39d49cd2e6cdc779b3f8d3c4c00de7f97dfc5f0aa7fdb7c90f969957d723027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $837,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 226,201$162,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,336.32 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diallo | 30c | 53,878$16,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,213.05 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 35,000$24,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,159.69 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diallo | 19c | 14,453$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Diallo | 29c | 9,948$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Diallo | 23c | 5,115$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Diallo | 22c | 4,661$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.37 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 3,558$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Diallo | 31c | 3,401$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.63 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 2,858$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.4 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diallo | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Diallo | 24c | 2,300$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.75 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diallo | 9c | 1,778$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Auger-Aliassime | 67c | 1,653$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.65 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Diallo | 33c | 1,611$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Diallo | 2c | 1,405$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Diallo | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Diallo | 29c | 1,218$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Diallo | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 1,135$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.19 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Diallo | 12c | 1,050$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diallo | 13c | 1,026$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diallo | 31c | 896.86$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Diallo | 11c | 862.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diallo | 29c | 607.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Diallo | 15c | 589.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Auger-Aliassime | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Diallo | 26c | 489.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…d040backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…81d6backed Diallo | 32c | 434$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Diallo | 27c | 384.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 302.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Diallo | 29c | 299.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Diallo | 6c | 263.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Diallo | 28c | 208.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Diallo | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Diallo | 31c | 187.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 169$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 140.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Auger-Aliassime | 77c | 130.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diallo | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Diallo | 35c | 113.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…03adbacked Diallo | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…98c0backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Diallo | 12c | 101.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Diallo | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 98.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Diallo | 26c | 91.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 88.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…ac6bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 76.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Diallo | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Diallo | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Diallo | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Diallo | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…1593backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.