NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec29ed111c3de8da09635897b5a04d10204222dc7d38f90be5eb039b132bb12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Predators | 39c | 96,152$37,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,499.44 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lightning | 61c | 42,131$25,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,431.16 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Predators | 1c | 24,705$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Predators | 38c | 22,093$8,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,395.51 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 61c | 19,999$12,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.73 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…6d98backed Predators | 49c | 14,600$7,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…a836backed Lightning | 51c | 14,600$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lightning | 61c | 10,329$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.46 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lightning | 62c | 9,960$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.84 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Lightning | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 59c | 8,995$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.89 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 7,400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 61c | 7,351$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Predators | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Lightning | 60c | 4,348$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.06 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Lightning | 62c | 3,871$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Predators | 40c | 3,564$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.57 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lightning | 61c | 3,285$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.79 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Predators | 39c | 3,211$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.11 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Lightning | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 62c | 2,674$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.09 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Predators | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Lightning | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Predators | 41c | 2,067$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.04 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Lightning | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Predators | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Predators | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 58c | 1,656$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.6 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,609$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.25 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 22c | 1,284$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Predators | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lightning | 71c | 1,143$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.38 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,123$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.97 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Predators | 38c | 1,117$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.64 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Predators | 6c | 1,009$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Predators | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Predators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Predators | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 61c | 919.4$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.57 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Predators | 41c | 880$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Lightning | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Predators | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 19c | 750$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Predators | 42c | 731$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lightning | 61c | 711$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lightning | 57c | 702.22$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Predators | 16c | 701.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…80d5backed Predators | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Predators | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Predators | 41c | 674.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Predators | 39c | 660.13$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Lightning | 62c | 650$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Lightning | 56c | 594.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Predators | 38c | 587.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Predators | 2c | 558.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Predators | 38c | 535.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 61c | 510.52$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Predators | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Lightning | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Lightning | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lightning | 62c | 450$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…e28cbacked Lightning | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Predators | 40c | 365.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 61c | 350.72$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Lightning | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Lightning | 74c | 338.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Predators | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Lightning | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…4f4fbacked Lightning | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…60f7backed Lightning | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Predators | 7c | 275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Predators | 38c | 272$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Predators | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Predators | 39c | 239.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…d342backed Predators | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Predators | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Predators | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Predators | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…0d1bbacked Predators | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Predators | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Predators | 32c | 189.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Predators | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lightning | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…78eebacked Lightning | 60c | 165.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Predators | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Lightning | 61c | 131.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Predators | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…0353backed Lightning | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…2639backed Predators | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Predators | 38c | 121.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Lightning | 59c | 121.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Lightning | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Lightning | 60c | 109.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…4a4fbacked Lightning | 59c | 109$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Predators | 41c | 108.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…1ce7backed Predators | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Predatorsthis page
- Lightning vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.