TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruinsof Islanders, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$478,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b3d…7422backed Islanders58c88,130$51,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,529.414057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Bruins42c49,102$20,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,247.031,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders4c24,800$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bruins36c20,315$7,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,917.9542552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Islanders1c19,751$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Bruins41c19,640$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,521.1141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9efd…80f3backed Bruins50c15,166$7,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9724…150ebacked Islanders50c15,166$7,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,58320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Islanders56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40014538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9011…4a6abacked Islanders50c14,758$7,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,379333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e0…e403backed Bruins50c14,758$7,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,379366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Bruins42c14,273$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,284.649340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Bruins41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0eb…59d1backed Islanders50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3002…2a51backed Bruins50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders57c8,995$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.1570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Islanders1c8,846$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.918746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders2c8,595$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.831,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Islanders58c7,500$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3506737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders1c6,781$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.811,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins41c6,219$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.2152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95024945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders1c4,859$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5928353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Bruins41c4,216$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.447659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Islanders56c3,976$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.4356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Bruins36c3,613$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.473964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins44c3,542$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.5969550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Islanders56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9606657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed6…49a1backed Bruins43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9952441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bruins41c3,403$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.8587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Bruins41c3,100$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Islanders58c2,933$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.3414253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Bruins42c2,846$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.6830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Islanders59c2,247$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.7316241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Bruins41c2,005$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Islanders59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Islanders58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bruins43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1405446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Islanders24c1,858$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5233848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Bruins41c1,799$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.045259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Bruins41c1,745$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.6415646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Bruins42c1,596$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.6464242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Bruins41c1,593$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.683636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e46…5bf7backed Islanders57c1,566$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Islanders59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88512041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Islanders60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Islanders31c1,476$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bruins43c1,369$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.7262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Bruins42c1,300$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Bruins41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders10c1,223$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bruins41c1,192$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.291,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bruins41c1,149$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.182,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Bruins46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Islanders56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Bruins42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Bruins42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Islanders60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders59c1,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Bruins41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5903557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed Islanders58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Islanders56c990.21$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders52c979.39$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.83,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins42c952$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1658841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Islanders20c947.62$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8327143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders61c800$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49168449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Islanders3c757.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed Bruins42c700$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d71…3b2cbacked Bruins43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Islanders57c656.8$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6829345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Bruins43c647.13$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8719942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Bruins41c631.94$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7737847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Islanders56c614.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…52c2backed Bruins43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e87…a470backed Bruins43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb281…f47ebacked Islanders57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins40c576.44$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.861,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Bruins45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Bruins43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Islanders58c476.18$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1813952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Islanders59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Islanders59c389.83$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303850%19 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3a9…df50backed Islanders57c380$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Islanders58c364$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.441,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Bruins41c356.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3148748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Islanders57c350.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9723653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x242d…603abacked Islanders60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0752…afadbacked Islanders57c320$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Islanders56c310.23$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7319555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Islanders58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9923741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Islanders67c276.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.139949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbccf…5f55backed Islanders57c270$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Islanders59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Bruins43c248.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8316346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bruins33c244$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.485250%26 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Bruins43c243.55$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1423545.1%106 W · 129 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Islanders56c232.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c8…35c6backed Islanders58c230$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.