Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5813669cb794a2c2b64d0e49737971e8cd5f10dce539df712b88216d7188fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liof Osorio, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Osorio | 46c | 9,034$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Osorio | 10c | 8,999$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.96 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li | 59c | 7,026$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.68 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Osorio | 7c | 5,514$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.71 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Li | 53c | 3,171$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.15 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…82d2backed Osorio | 67c | 2,727$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Li | 60c | 2,724$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.4 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Osorio | 31c | 2,099$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.93 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Osorio | 31c | 2,050$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.48 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Li | 57c | 1,500$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Li | 79c | 1,389$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Li | 53c | 1,164$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.27 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Osorio | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Osorio | 45c | 996.44$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Li | 59c | 974.28$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Osorio | 10c | 953.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Osorio | 43c | 914.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Osorio | 42c | 855.98$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Li | 56c | 852$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.08 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Osorio | 43c | 813$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Li | 60c | 808.82$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Li | 79c | 665.53$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Osorio | 46c | 524.35$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Osorio | 43c | 520.34$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Li | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Osorio | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Li | 58c | 456.67$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Osorio | 67c | 386.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Osorio | 16c | 377.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Li | 59c | 340.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Osorio | 44c | 308$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Osorio | 63c | 305.1$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…4207backed Li | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Osorio | 42c | 300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Li | 53c | 268.92$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Osorio | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Osorio | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…3e48backed Li | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Osorio | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Li | 50c | 179.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Li | 56c | 162.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea9…42a1backed Li | 41c | 141.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…b5cbbacked Osorio | 14c | 130.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Osorio | 13c | 129.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…7ffcbacked Li | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…59cbbacked Osorio | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Osorio | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Li | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Osorio | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 310 | 31%96 W · 214 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Li | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked Osorio | 15c | 95.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Li | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Osorio | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Osorio | 41c | 77.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Osorio | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Li | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…90c2backed Osorio | 47c | 64.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…7595backed Osorio | 45c | 50.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…5a91backed Li | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Osorio | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…18a3backed Osorio | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…7b8abacked Li | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…239cbacked Li | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Li | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Li | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Li | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Li | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Li | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…fa5abacked Li | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Li | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Li | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Li | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Li | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Osorio | 42c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Osorio | 43c | 31.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Osorio | 63c | 31.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…4137backed Li | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…52b6backed Osorio | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Osorio | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Li | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.