Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de52cbdbf680ba22ea0fa8fe96866cd41e57503b0f10cf983883b0984fc3aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 50c | 17,312$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,619.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 54c | 12,782$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 49c | 9,100$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 8,821$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.94 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…b542backed Yes | 49c | 4,418$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f35…8a08backed No | 51c | 4,418$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…c5fabacked Yes | 49c | 3,545$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…7b24backed No | 51c | 3,545$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 51c | 3,348$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 26c | 3,269$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 58c | 1,905$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.57 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 51c | 1,130$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 4c | 1,037$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 31c | 984.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0714…873abacked No | 50c | 967.68$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…aa90backed Yes | 50c | 967.68$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 50c | 750$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 50c | 750$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 25c | 611.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 48c | 370.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 299.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…bb12backed Yes | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…c5c9backed Yes | 48c | 174.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b453backed No | 52c | 160.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…75eebacked No | 52c | 158.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…5e27backed Yes | 48c | 144.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 49c | 112.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 35c | 83.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed No | 40c | 71.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 55c | 63.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 51c | 63.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 54c | 60.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5f…7ecebacked Yes | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 47c | 25.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 77c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.