Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf48fa6323d35517130069c39865fcf53a1464221e31ae809d0d8e70faf0b7ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 29c | 13,631$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 71c | 7,177$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…5c3dbacked Yes | 28c | 6,428$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…7755backed No | 72c | 4,165$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…2b22backed Yes | 28c | 3,580$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 70c | 2,500$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 70c | 2,500$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 2,092$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.82 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…9ba7backed No | 72c | 2,085$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…b4d2backed No | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…ed07backed No | 72c | 1,670$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…3487backed No | 74c | 1,451$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 70c | 750$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 738$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 71c | 389.63$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 74c | 141.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…bb12backed Yes | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 26c | 61.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.