Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d8e3828352adf5e83498418144d38b1ffad0804184715daf9f85b1111d4444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,750 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 41c | 43,477$17,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,825.47 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 13,972$5,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.33 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 59c | 8,999$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.59 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 45c | 7,059$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 6,900$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.41 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 4,019$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 41c | 750$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…be29backed Yes | 59c | 640.68$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 55c | 420.48$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 396$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 31c | 334.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a703backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 43c | 204.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 41c | 177.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 42c | 175$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 54c | 80.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…a851backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…6c10backed Yes | 56c | 69.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf260…d036backed Yes | 57c | 60.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8e…4255backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…6ebcbacked No | 43c | 46.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 40c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 42c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-10-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.