College Football · resolved market
Missouri State vs. New Mexico State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe6b8d161ad28bf07be743acacf682a1b05db8ef279890a2285829d1be70a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Stateof Missouri State, New Mexico State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $961,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $967,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $961,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed New Mexico State | 47c | 375,381$174,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,916.43 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked New Mexico State | 5c | 100,093$5,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.45 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Missouri State | 53c | 100,000$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri State | 53c | 75,846$40,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,689.38 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Missouri State | 55c | 74,712$41,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,662.74 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Missouri State | 53c | 66,349$35,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,183.87 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked New Mexico State | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New Mexico State | 33c | 38,416$12,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,611.34 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…1a95backed New Mexico State | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed New Mexico State | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New Mexico State | 44c | 26,573$11,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,773.41 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Missouri State | 56c | 21,876$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,556.24 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri State | 73c | 21,325$15,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.63 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Missouri State | 49c | 17,652$8,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,977.36 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Missouri State | 53c | 13,975$7,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.25 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Missouri State | 53c | 11,111$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.17 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked New Mexico State | 10c | 9,137$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico State | 23c | 9,116$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.78 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Missouri State | 56c | 8,592$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,781.33 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New Mexico State | 5c | 6,189$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico State | 25c | 6,104$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.66 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed New Mexico State | 46c | 5,808$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.68 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New Mexico State | 1c | 5,019$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New Mexico State | 31c | 4,782$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.78 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed New Mexico State | 3c | 4,694$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri State | 54c | 4,587$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.81 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Missouri State | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed New Mexico State | 58c | 3,767$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed New Mexico State | 5c | 3,516$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State | 70c | 3,309$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked New Mexico State | 55c | 3,276$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New Mexico State | 2c | 3,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri State | 64c | 2,522$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.02 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked New Mexico State | 49c | 2,500$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Missouri State | 52c | 2,387$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked New Mexico State | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Missouri State | 50c | 2,132$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Missouri State | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Missouri State | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed New Mexico State | 47c | 2,000$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.11 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed New Mexico State | 4c | 1,885$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked New Mexico State | 2c | 1,653$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed New Mexico State | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Missouri State | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,432$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked New Mexico State | 1c | 1,336$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed New Mexico State | 2c | 1,332$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State | 65c | 1,206$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.62 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Missouri State | 50c | 1,070$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Missouri State | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed New Mexico State | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Missouri State | 50c | 998$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Missouri State | 56c | 983$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.52 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Missouri State | 50c | 957$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Missouri State | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed New Mexico State | 50c | 857.02$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…a703backed Missouri State | 58c | 846.71$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked New Mexico State | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed New Mexico State | 42c | 803.84$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked New Mexico State | 55c | 801.31$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Missouri State | 79c | 651$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed New Mexico State | 35c | 556.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New Mexico State | 48c | 539.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.6 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Missouri State | 50c | 515.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Mexico State | 27c | 504$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Missouri State | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked New Mexico State | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed New Mexico State | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Missouri State | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Missouri State | 57c | 477.19$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed New Mexico State | 19c | 446.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Missouri State | 47c | 428$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Missouri State | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed New Mexico State | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Missouri State | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Missouri State | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed New Mexico State | 51c | 299.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed New Mexico State | 40c | 277$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked New Mexico State | 11c | 268.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Missouri State | 62c | 255.55$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Missouri State | 52c | 220$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico State | 18c | 215.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Missouri State | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed New Mexico State | 45c | 201.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked New Mexico State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed New Mexico State | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed New Mexico State | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Mexico State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked New Mexico State | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked New Mexico State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…b28fbacked New Mexico State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0a7cbacked New Mexico State | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cf04backed Missouri State | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked New Mexico State | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…2909backed Missouri State | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Missouri State | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Missouri State | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed New Mexico State | 35c | 171.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked New Mexico State | 12c | 167.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed New Mexico State | 20c | 167.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statethis page
- Missouri State vs. New Mexico State: O/U 50.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)Missouri State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.