World Politics · resolved market
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5994021322e0ab29f8d6330dc729d63621887afdff93e1c97d133657ee9d376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5431…47e1backed No | 63c | 69,740$44,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,713.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…cb67backed Yes | 41c | 65,000$26,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,612.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 57c | 54,266$30,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,395.52 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 47c | 33,438$15,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,842.49 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed No | 79c | 33,295$26,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 40c | 26,522$10,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,693.42 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d5…2884backed Yes | 44c | 25,795$11,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,444.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 49c | 25,237$12,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,902.73 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…680cbacked Yes | 48c | 24,389$11,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,807.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 44c | 22,049$9,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,789.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 37c | 15,127$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,604.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d73…1478backed No | 72c | 14,885$10,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 65c | 12,987$8,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.24 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 79c | 12,235$9,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Yes | 40c | 7,898$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…46cfbacked Yes | 69c | 5,757$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 58c | 5,646$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.96 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…fbfabacked No | 65c | 4,899$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 58c | 4,759$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…eaf9backed Yes | 44c | 4,138$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked Yes | 31c | 3,892$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked No | 62c | 3,830$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 52c | 3,290$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.4 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Yes | 71c | 2,836$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…9973backed No | 47c | 2,762$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…1ab0backed No | 60c | 2,579$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 55c | 2,386$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.86 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 41c | 2,171$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…6e63backed Yes | 51c | 1,718$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…17ddbacked No | 55c | 1,680$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…2019backed Yes | 25c | 1,649$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…a695backed No | 59c | 1,533$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…af98backed Yes | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…218ebacked No | 78c | 1,312$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 39c | 1,292$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…cf5fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,228$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…ea33backed Yes | 46c | 1,196$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 10c | 1,032$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed Yes | 6c | 1,021$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 56c | 975.33$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 67c | 924.03$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.02 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…681abacked No | 71c | 901.69$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Yes | 46c | 900$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…3b8abacked No | 61c | 870.05$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…82aebacked Yes | 49c | 851.82$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…b05bbacked Yes | 20c | 847$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…4f10backed No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 28c | 670$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 62c | 647.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…3a0dbacked Yes | 30c | 647$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed Yes | 37c | 621.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed No | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…283cbacked Yes | 52c | 607.29$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 13c | 600.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 34c | 599.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…2003backed No | 58c | 561.61$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 55c | 550.17$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 62c | 515.1$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…becdbacked No | 65c | 500.09$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…dfc8backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…c383backed No | 60c | 497.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…ec6dbacked Yes | 60c | 490.63$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…5857backed No | 32c | 455.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 27c | 425$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 64c | 401.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 60c | 399.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 14c | 366.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…a059backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…f88fbacked Yes | 36c | 348.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…4cc7backed Yes | 28c | 334.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…e4bebacked Yes | 61c | 325.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…ecf5backed Yes | 31c | 315.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed Yes | 77c | 301.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…d0e8backed No | 63c | 277.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…4088backed Yes | 48c | 270$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…7ca8backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…3d1ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d1…1a60backed No | 33c | 230$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 65c | 222$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 37c | 213.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…0ad0backed No | 60c | 210.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…1d0abacked Yes | 56c | 202.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 39c | 201$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…1d13backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…796fbacked Yes | 53c | 190.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…1a8ebacked Yes | 56c | 179.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…6138backed Yes | 78c | 176.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…f55cbacked Yes | 28c | 166.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…5e75backed No | 61c | 161.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26a…37eabacked No | 50c | 155.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…8d1cbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 36c | 148.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed No | 62c | 143.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 45c | 142.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…12dfbacked Yes | 57c | 130.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 80c | 127.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81c…506cbacked Yes | 31c | 126.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…f7f7backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…9cc0backed Yes | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.