Earnings · resolved market
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7a77eaa70679a6f6449e2940f8874f63dcc15bc37e8cb21f0600a93bf2a31a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…ec13backed No | 25c | 4,013$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 21c | 3,300$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.38 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 18c | 2,830$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 74c | 1,612$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.45 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,611$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.98 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 12c | 1,166$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…9e38backed Yes | 75c | 1,104$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 47c | 879.61$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 19c | 736$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 19c | 734.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 80c | 596.19$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 13c | 545.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.69 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…38c8backed Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 521.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 19c | 519.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.02 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 15c | 420.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.66 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 19c | 333.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 305.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa35…77d5backed Yes | 79c | 304.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…f4bcbacked Yes | 26c | 286$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…631cbacked No | 20c | 277.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 60c | 244.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…2236backed Yes | 75c | 238.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 214.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 18c | 205.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Yes | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…d45abacked No | 52c | 183.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 31c | 166.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…a046backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…2886backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2443…354cbacked Yes | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 138.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 64c | 138.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed No | 16c | 136.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…4faebacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…578cbacked No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed No | 25c | 121.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…2973backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed No | 23c | 117.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 74c | 115.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 77c | 108.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…cd93backed Yes | 80c | 107.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 78c | 104.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed No | 20c | 101.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2e…9deebacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…e9c7backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…fdeabacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed Yes | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed Yes | 68c | 97.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…ef1bbacked Yes | 78c | 87.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked No | 18c | 83.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +459.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 79.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…9817backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…d4b3backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf656…942bbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…04e0backed Yes | 67c | 60.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed Yes | 79c | 58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…758abacked No | 18c | 56.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +423.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…dbe0backed No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…2491backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…14cabacked Yes | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…f720backed No | 24c | 41.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…d059backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed No | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…549ebacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…4422backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e1…fd5dbacked Yes | 79c | 31.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…17c7backed Yes | 79c | 30.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…8dc7backed Yes | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed No | 46c | 29.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…22cebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…e881backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…8a94backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…2229backed Yes | 80c | 22.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…36fdbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…0607backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…9cd1backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…7b25backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…b304backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.