Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bed7e741d834fd6086487c0cdf7390fb4e9386e9d0d6bdb00ba67474eb869e0

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $213,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $159,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	11c	10,747$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	8,112$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.55	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	16c	6,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.99	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	5c	5,018$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.4	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	5,000$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.09	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	4,299$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.18	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	4,298$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa301…bcbdbacked Yes	20c	4,256$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.79	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	4,181$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.56	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed No	80c	4,128$3,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.89	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	3,348$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.31	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	3,160$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	1c	2,900$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	2,340$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.68	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	15c	2,148$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.41	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4262…0ef2backed Yes	26c	2,005$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	73c	2,000$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$549.17	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	15c	1,900$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.31	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	6c	1,712$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.87	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	1,600$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	1,523$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.22	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	1,500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	11c	1,360$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.72	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	13c	1,301$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.44	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	1,193$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	11c	1,105$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	24c	1,045$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,033$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c44…8f73backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	911.63$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.19	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	72c	909.72$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.55	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb466…4953backed Yes	30c	871.54$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.2	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+307.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes	10c	853$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	75c	799.98$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	734.96$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.34	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ca…b6adbacked Yes	29c	691.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	39cpaid	-65%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	74c	644.01$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.46	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	17c	595.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	16c	595.23$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…5c9bbacked Yes	3c	580$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	21c	573$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.99	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	569.68$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.64	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	12c	561.55$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.78	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Yes	17c	556.2$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.55	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed No	74c	537.19$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.67	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	516.81$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7863…ffddbacked Yes	29c	510.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes	2c	503$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	17c	488.71$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	14c	459.07$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.27	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	29c	450$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	24c	450$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	448.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	21c	433.91$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.14	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa02…f3d3backed Yes	23c	428.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	76c	412.22$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.42	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	28c	411.91$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b90…c1afbacked Yes	27c	409.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1855…f2a7backed Yes	3c	404.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1786…a1e1backed Yes	23c	402.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.95	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	13c	402.05$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	19c	399.47$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.37	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	15c	385.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	21c	372.67$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.41	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	7c	371.89$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	18c	362.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	11c	360.41$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	19c	360.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	16c	350$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x097b…19c1backed Yes	28c	336.53$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.84	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	29cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	4c	330.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	10c	306.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb414…067cbacked Yes	24c	303.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.63	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c9…83b5backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…fba2backed Yes	11c	300$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…3975backed Yes	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	15c	299.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	8c	260$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes	20c	251.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	251.53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a2…67ebbacked No	79c	249.17$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.95	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	28c	226.5$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaccc…a483backed Yes	18c	223$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…23cabacked Yes	16c	219.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.63	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4e…f5e1backed No	77c	217.36$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.99	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	74cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	11c	210$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed Yes	12c	208$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	74	10.8%8 W · 66 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…5704backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	60	11.7%7 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…7354backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	15c	199.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4474…876ebacked Yes	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fac…3e5abacked Yes	19c	193.19$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb3…037dbacked Yes	17c	192.41$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.71	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1dc…ce46backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	74c	187.09$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	70c	183.06$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.92	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	12c	180$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event