Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6622e5fc534109b78a3f2a833e1fd97c9e35ba35b8f5b0168f335921a121b0ad

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $710,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $389,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	7c	33,629$2,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,332.86	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	20,827$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	10c	20,547$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,995.51	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	14,100$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	7c	11,573$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.84	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	10,509$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.76	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	10,149$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.05	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	18c	10,011$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.8	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	9,834$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.61	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes	2c	9,587$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.66	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	9,036$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.52	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	8,288$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.29	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	7,533$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.61	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	6,063$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.15	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	3c	6,000$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.79	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c0…c100backed Yes	2c	5,950$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	5,634$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.04	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,033$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.05	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	5,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	5,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	5,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.2	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	6c	4,906$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.19	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	4c	4,735$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.66	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	4,569$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf461…061cbacked Yes	9c	4,477$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	9c	4,453$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.35	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	4,209$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.1	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	7c	4,193$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.38	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	4c	4,090$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.07	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	7c	4,009$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.86	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	4,006$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,960$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	9c	3,711$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	1c	3,695$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	3c	3,616$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.16	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	13c	3,557$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.52	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	3,523$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	3c	3,477$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	2c	3,181$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	15c	3,122$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.07	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f57…9424backed Yes	6c	2,824$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.28	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	22cpaid	+36%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	7c	2,754$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	7c	2,670$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.41	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	2,652$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.33	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	2c	2,513$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.01	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	7c	2,448$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.33	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	5c	2,383$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.49	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	5c	2,373$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.82	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,327$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.94	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	6c	2,243$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.58	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf042…3a87backed Yes	18c	2,210$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.66	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	7c	2,100$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.7	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…6c44backed Yes	5c	1,995$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.79	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	11c	1,959$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.29	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	6c	1,909$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.31	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	4c	1,852$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.37	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	1,822$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	13c	1,821$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.58	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	1,800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	5c	1,700$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.82	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	6c	1,673$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.15	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	1,655$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	7c	1,600$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f7…00f0backed Yes	2c	1,600$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	2c	1,600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,580$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.78	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	1c	1,565$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	14c	1,470$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.22	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	16c	1,445$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.77	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	4c	1,423$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	5c	1,395$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.61	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	7c	1,347$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.68	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	9c	1,297$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.28	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	1,257$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.01	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	2c	1,257$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	1,209$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	1,202$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	1,152$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.06	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	9c	1,132$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.37	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	1c	1,114$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,086$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.18	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	14c	1,085$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	14c	1,066$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.41	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	1,060$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	12c	1,008$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.3	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	10c	960$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes	4c	941.58$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	8c	938.56$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.67	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	2c	923.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	8c	913.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.12	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	906.55$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.31	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	3c	900$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	888.97$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	4c	873$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.9	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	5c	853.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	6c	851.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event