CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6bc703623cf81e7c86a4a34971046fbe2c03673cbc3f39eae84a741fd2528f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Acend | 44c | 1,808$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.14 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 30c | 998.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 74c | 991.99$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Acend | 35c | 810.69$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.91 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 61c | 810.11$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.32 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 56c | 720.12$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked Acend | 26c | 543.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…bfb7backed Acend | 45c | 326.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed BESTIA | 63c | 313.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 56c | 295.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 80c | 250.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Acend | 34c | 243.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Acend | 27c | 240.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed BESTIA | 66c | 240.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 67c | 225.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed BESTIA | 56c | 202.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BESTIA | 60c | 170.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed BESTIA | 74c | 154.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed BESTIA | 70c | 141.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked BESTIA | 74c | 133.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 72c | 128.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 68c | 116.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Acend | 38c | 109.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Acend | 21c | 103.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 55c | 83.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked BESTIA | 70c | 69.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked BESTIA | 66c | 68.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked BESTIA | 28c | 60.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked BESTIA | 73c | 55.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Acend | 24c | 44.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Acend | 30c | 42.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BESTIA | 75c | 41.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…b905backed BESTIA | 71c | 27.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…b26dbacked BESTIA | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed BESTIA | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed BESTIA | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BESTIA | 74c | 21.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…90fbbacked BESTIA | 71c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.