Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2554d01090d896bcca51bdb3d8e74a60fb0030b43ec73522975e1016823aa09

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $529,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $307,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,507 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	4c	27,693$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.73	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	27,457$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.92	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	7c	24,524$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.06	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	16,130$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	14,143$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.7	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	5c	12,059$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.73	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	11,279$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.27	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	10,419$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.53	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	1c	10,300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.3	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	2c	9,074$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.76	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	8,961$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.26	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	8,785$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.63	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	4c	7,138$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.67	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	6,482$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	6,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9e…fa03backed Yes	0c	5,530$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.99	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	26c	4,839$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.18	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	75c	4,628$3,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,162.67	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,734$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	17c	3,730$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.07	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	3,660$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	10c	3,532$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.15	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd275…0f0cbacked Yes	2c	3,265$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	11c	3,264$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.4	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	2c	3,110$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.45	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	0c	3,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	3,082$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	1c	3,035$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	8c	2,996$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.03	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	3c	2,995$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	2,894$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	0c	2,709$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	12c	2,671$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.05	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,669$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.93	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	2,623$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d74…8844backed Yes	19c	2,602$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	2,483$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.34	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	2,366$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	2,358$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	2,325$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.95	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	2,266$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	2,087$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.51	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	2,036$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.82	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,961$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.66	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	15c	1,957$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.84	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	1c	1,943$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	6c	1,897$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.14	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	7c	1,734$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.49	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,731$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,710$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.23	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	1c	1,632$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	10c	1,621$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.89	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	7c	1,611$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.11	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	1,503$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.7	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	1,500$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.65	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	1c	1,494$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,453$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.67	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	7c	1,401$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.67	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f12…654bbacked Yes	3c	1,362$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,341$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	6c	1,226$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	2c	1,205$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	7c	1,200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.02	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	2c	1,192$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	17c	1,158$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.66	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	23c	1,094$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.63	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…8e4bbacked Yes	2c	1,002$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	7c	1,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	4c	950$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	16c	919.34$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.09	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	8c	910.85$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.92	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	3c	883.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	3c	881.7$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	822.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	799.03$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	795.6$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.56	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	6c	777.37$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	18c	769.33$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	742.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.49	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	15c	694.22$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.63	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	14c	685.38$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	8c	656.3$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.72	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	8c	650.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.33	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	611.46$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	19c	586.92$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	5c	582.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5f…2fd1backed Yes	22c	552.89$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.7	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	3c	500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	8c	500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	19c	498.01$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.44	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	22c	495.88$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.79	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7014…cf13backed Yes	4c	474.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	5c	472.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	21c	467.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…0ab4backed Yes	17c	455.55$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.01	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	12c	448.58$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.43	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes	13c	447.07$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	7c	440$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	15c	437$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event