Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f2c958837ef36fdb21705d16b0e78345c173fd8a77ce6cb59b52c680f0d046

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $442,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $324,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,653 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	54,957$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.87	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	13,513$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.29	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	12,821$1,755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,755	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	12c	11,897$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.78	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	9,842$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.87	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	9,517$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,441.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	8,933$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.87	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	7c	8,016$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.98	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	13c	7,752$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.66	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	7,105$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.08	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	5,883$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.82	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	7c	4,779$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.39	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	4,779$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.2	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	4,305$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.29	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	20c	4,276$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.15	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	20c	4,162$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.17	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	11c	3,224$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.22	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	14c	2,637$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.22	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	2,612$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	9c	2,487$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.97	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	15c	2,097$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.61	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,053$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,037$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.44	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	6c	2,030$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.73	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,017$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.91	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	78c	2,000$1,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.54	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	23c	1,859$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.34	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	6c	1,807$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes	1c	1,725$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-77%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	40c	1,667$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.78	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked No	78c	1,665$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.97	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	19c	1,594$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.09	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	18c	1,576$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.76	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	1,540$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.75	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	1,462$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	9c	1,448$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.45	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	12c	1,368$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.19	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	3c	1,349$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	10c	1,193$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.31	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	9c	1,100$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	5c	1,100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.1	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	42c	1,071$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.56	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b4…2d43backed Yes	13c	1,051$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.83	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	9c	1,048$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.41	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	29c	1,048$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.66	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	8c	1,046$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.39	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	75c	1,039$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.64	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	62c	1,038$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.31	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	7c	1,033$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.04	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	11c	1,023$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.39	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	6c	949.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	21c	935$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.6	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	917.49$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.07	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	30c	828.18$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	18c	813.6$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.62	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	22c	812.38$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	25c	774.79$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.28	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	762.87$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	24c	759.81$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.53	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	710.15$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.53	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	79c	699.97$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.09	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	678.84$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…6bb7backed No	75c	675.85$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.02	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x338d…6fd4backed Yes	8c	650.47$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.23	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f19…0ab4backed Yes	29c	650.12$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.94	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	20c	650.01$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.96	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	74c	650$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.5	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed Yes	34c	634.25$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.26	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	633.97$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.92	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	630.13$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	37c	625.54$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.01	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	28c	620.77$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.82	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	16c	618.88$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.68	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…0d4ebacked No	73c	603.69$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.63	140	50%70 W · 70 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…4847backed Yes	34c	591.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	13c	590.93$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	589.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	14c	580.48$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.21	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	67c	572.21$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.61	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	529.88$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.66	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	26c	527.33$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.58	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes	27c	525.95$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.84	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked No	66c	509.2$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.61	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes	45c	500.8$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	23c	500.48$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.27	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…f6e4backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.7	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+442.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x186c…f982backed Yes	16c	499.7$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.65	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	41c	498$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.48	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	20c	488.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	23c	478.08$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	8c	473.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.91	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	22c	471.38$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	21c	471.16$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.48	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c0c…4aacbacked Yes	3c	466.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f5…d8a1backed Yes	19c	445.38$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.34	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	23c	444.72$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event