Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2417c1b911e91e8d8d9ecddd73ef0dbef2e39eeac269d595436a10a1ea5ede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Rybakinaof Alexandra Eala, Elena Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Alexandra Eala | 3c | 47,517$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.89 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandra Eala | 6c | 32,249$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.7 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Alexandra Eala | 1c | 10,088$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 7,378$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.84 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 5,959$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.13 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alexandra Eala | 4c | 5,028$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alexandra Eala | 5c | 4,282$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Alexandra Eala | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…fa36backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 2,624$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 2,571$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Alexandra Eala | 1c | 2,103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alexandra Eala | 7c | 2,086$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 1,900$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…dd2abacked Alexandra Eala | 7c | 1,586$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Alexandra Eala | 9c | 1,410$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alexandra Eala | 5c | 1,228$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 1,159$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alexandra Eala | 8c | 1,002$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Alexandra Eala | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandra Eala | 3c | 883.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Alexandra Eala | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Alexandra Eala | 6c | 592.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…6c9cbacked Alexandra Eala | 2c | 562.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 555.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 420$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 416.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Alexandra Eala | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked Alexandra Eala | 7c | 393.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Alexandra Eala | 6c | 359.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 708 | 21.2%150 W · 558 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…2704backed Alexandra Eala | 5c | 300.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…b6b2backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Alexandra Eala | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Alexandra Eala | 7c | 283.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 274.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Alexandra Eala | 9c | 266.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alexandra Eala | 10c | 246.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…3cb1backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 228.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…5372backed Alexandra Eala | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 215.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Alexandra Eala | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Alexandra Eala | 6c | 180.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Alexandra Eala | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Alexandra Eala | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Alexandra Eala | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…2fb4backed Alexandra Eala | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Alexandra Eala vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Eala vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)Rybakina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.