Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96efecd17077107f4e665527a70fdcebad1de13d9837e734200b0c8b9b90bff3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 2c | 11,235$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.12 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 9,364$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 15c | 8,709$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.43 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 2c | 8,028$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.79 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 5c | 6,353$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,555$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 7c | 5,358$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.39 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7135backed Yes | 2c | 4,564$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -96%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,449$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.72 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,055$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 3,949$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,939$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 3c | 3,551$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,491$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 3,169$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 3,146$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.81 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,073$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 8c | 2,441$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,317$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 10c | 2,046$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ad…f1c0backed Yes | 4c | 2,024$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 11c | 1,786$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…33ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 11c | 1,600$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,509$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 99 | 22.2%22 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 1,385$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 4c | 1,230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,217$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 139 | 17.3%24 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…ecdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,182$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 7c | 1,170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 12c | 1,107$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d2…93b2backed Yes | 2c | 960.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 8c | 909.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 8c | 851.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3345…2097backed Yes | 6c | 797.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 5c | 791.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 8c | 773.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 5c | 742.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…8fcebacked Yes | 3c | 677$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 14c | 610.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 16c | 600.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes | 13c | 549.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 129 | 19.4%25 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 12c | 547.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 500.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 5c | 495$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Yes | 9c | 485$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 9c | 480.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 6c | 477.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…c601backed Yes | 11c | 468.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 15c | 439.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…8088backed Yes | 17c | 394.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…ca80backed Yes | 20c | 388.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 14c | 366.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 6c | 357.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…7908backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 9c | 290$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 8c | 290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes | 12c | 286.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 283.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 4c | 259.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 4c | 253.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 240.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…9ac8backed Yes | 11c | 222.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…2c1dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…be52backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 199.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 8c | 193.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 67c | 190$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 6c | 175.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Yes | 12c | 170.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…1537backed Yes | 13c | 155.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 159 | 18.9%30 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 12c | 152.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…0f80backed Yes | 14c | 133.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 14c | 123.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…1403backed Yes | 12c | 119.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 13c | 112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a3f0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 15c | 80.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 20c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…0797backed Yes | 18c | 65.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…3748backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…abebbacked No | 76c | 26.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.