Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5938aa705c3e7a02577ff01eb66b8fbf05ac59b8457fee109109deff65ecf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 78c | 15,774$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.25 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 35c | 11,312$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 9,049$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Inner Circle | 35c | 4,849$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.9 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed OG | 76c | 4,683$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.29 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed OG | 73c | 4,250$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 4,247$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.93 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Inner Circle | 21c | 3,850$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.5 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 79c | 3,750$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.5 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Inner Circle | 27c | 2,839$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed OG | 74c | 2,829$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.56 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Inner Circle | 26c | 2,787$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.43 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 23c | 2,669$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.36 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Inner Circle | 27c | 2,580$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.02 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 21c | 2,570$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.12 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Inner Circle | 21c | 2,237$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.42 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Inner Circle | 17c | 2,000$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed OG | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 16c | 1,800$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Inner Circle | 25c | 1,624$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Inner Circle | 28c | 1,562$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 74c | 1,555$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Inner Circle | 25c | 1,539$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.34 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Inner Circle | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Inner Circle | 26c | 1,500$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.55 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Inner Circle | 26c | 1,359$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 1,350$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 71c | 1,328$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.26 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed OG | 77c | 1,297$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle | 17c | 1,275$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 74c | 1,261$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Inner Circle | 26c | 1,122$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.66 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle | 21c | 1,032$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Inner Circle | 26c | 1,027$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Inner Circle | 19c | 1,011$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed OG | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Inner Circle | 32c | 937.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked OG | 68c | 886.91$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Inner Circle | 33c | 864.42$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 22c | 843.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed OG | 69c | 749.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked OG | 75c | 734.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Inner Circle | 27c | 721.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.51 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked OG | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed OG | 66c | 699.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked OG | 76c | 685$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed Inner Circle | 36c | 665.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Inner Circle | 34c | 652.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed OG | 72c | 635.48$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Inner Circle | 36c | 624.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.05 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…f5b0backed OG | 76c | 623.58$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Inner Circle | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked OG | 73c | 558.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed OG | 72c | 555.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…705fbacked OG | 80c | 552.68$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 29c | 519.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Inner Circle | 29c | 511.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 504.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Inner Circle | 27c | 464.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Inner Circle | 17c | 449.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked OG | 62c | 441.64$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 79c | 438$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed OG | 72c | 434.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OG | 70c | 415.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 75c | 397.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed OG | 74c | 373.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed OG | 77c | 323.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle | 19c | 317.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked OG | 67c | 301.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed OG | 65c | 287.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked OG | 66c | 286.54$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed OG | 73c | 257.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Inner Circle | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed OG | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Inner Circle | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed OG | 73c | 222$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Inner Circle | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed OG | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed OG | 69c | 210.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Inner Circle | 18c | 203.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked OG | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 73c | 191.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 26c | 183.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed OG | 77c | 180.05$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed OG | 75c | 173.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed OG | 75c | 171.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 77c | 167.26$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked OG | 75c | 158.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…69b1backed OG | 78c | 156.41$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 23c | 144.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 142.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked OG | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.