Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44321e793575ffc4f54c11a226dacb86e4b5595d2bd48479dd222ae7d85211a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked OG | 72c | 28,220$20,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.84 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 19,546$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.88 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 75c | 14,681$11,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.44 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 36c | 13,653$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed OG | 66c | 7,273$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.02 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Inner Circle | 42c | 7,082$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.3 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 6,990$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.86 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Inner Circle | 30c | 6,352$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.05 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 70c | 6,031$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.04 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 29c | 5,375$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.05 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked OG | 61c | 5,350$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed OG | 61c | 5,223$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.26 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 59c | 5,101$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.36 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 72c | 4,493$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.43 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Inner Circle | 25c | 4,400$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Inner Circle | 6c | 4,206$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Inner Circle | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed OG | 78c | 2,849$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.72 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 21c | 2,832$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.81 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Inner Circle | 28c | 2,801$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.41 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Inner Circle | 27c | 2,780$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.85 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 2,742$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.57 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 2,536$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Inner Circle | 20c | 2,409$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 71c | 2,077$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.81 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Inner Circle | 26c | 2,027$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.02 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Inner Circle | 27c | 2,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle | 30c | 2,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Inner Circle | 15c | 1,976$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 18c | 1,807$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle | 13c | 1,750$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…00e2backed OG | 76c | 1,600$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,585$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,550$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 62c | 1,468$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.16 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,456$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.06 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Inner Circle | 17c | 1,380$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,377$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 1,331$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed OG | 69c | 1,296$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.6 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 17c | 1,156$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Inner Circle | 29c | 1,143$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Inner Circle | 31c | 1,089$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Inner Circle | 40c | 1,080$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.87 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Inner Circle | 43c | 1,077$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.91 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 64c | 1,038$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.83 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Inner Circle | 8c | 1,028$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed OG | 75c | 1,008$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,005$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed OG | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Inner Circle | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed OG | 66c | 971$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 957.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Inner Circle | 18c | 932.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Inner Circle | 18c | 898$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.29 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle | 29c | 859$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Inner Circle | 27c | 825.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.77 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Inner Circle | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed OG | 64c | 767.24$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.24 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked OG | 72c | 750$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 56c | 725.48$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.21 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed OG | 73c | 712.33$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.33 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked OG | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Inner Circle | 22c | 700$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Inner Circle | 42c | 650.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Inner Circle | 5c | 631.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked OG | 70c | 629.81$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Inner Circle | 28c | 616.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed OG | 61c | 597.65$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked OG | 71c | 590.63$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Inner Circle | 42c | 575.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Inner Circle | 30c | 566.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 8c | 523.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed OG | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Inner Circle | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Inner Circle | 44c | 477$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 470.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Inner Circle | 34c | 469$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Inner Circle | 39c | 445$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Inner Circle | 42c | 444.79$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…cb74backed Inner Circle | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked OG | 69c | 389.87$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Inner Circle | 41c | 382.3$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed Inner Circle | 32c | 375$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked OG | 72c | 370.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Inner Circle | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked OG | 75c | 364.36$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Inner Circle | 40c | 352.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed OG | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed OG | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 18c | 330.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed Inner Circle | 27c | 323.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 28c | 305.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Inner Circle | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Inner Circle | 10c | 287.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…a02abacked OG | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.