World Politics · resolved market
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a8c79e7a5b641c3d2cf9ce98b8bab712beb75cbb335e35f6256d8235e1abdb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,573$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 51c | 2,550$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,408$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 1c | 1,682$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 1,641$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 3c | 1,608$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 37c | 1,588$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 1,507$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 27c | 1,141$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 26c | 1,103$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 76c | 1,038$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.02 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 58c | 895.91$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…8d6cbacked No | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +681.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 720.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 70c | 670.41$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 3c | 557.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked No | 4c | 520.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf0…e8c1backed Yes | 74c | 442.62$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 8c | 433.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca7…34d2backed No | 5c | 429.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 14c | 429.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 14c | 381$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 367.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 29c | 338.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8800…c71abacked Yes | 16c | 309.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 5c | 308$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 80c | 305$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 20c | 305$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 28c | 294.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…8399backed No | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…f313backed Yes | 20c | 246.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 243.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 51c | 237.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Yes | 22c | 224.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 25c | 219.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 202.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 21c | 192.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…8fb6backed No | 12c | 188$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…017bbacked Yes | 9c | 186.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…0082backed Yes | 23c | 183.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 178$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…3bd9backed No | 61c | 167.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…3188backed No | 7c | 164.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 22c | 161.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…95cabacked No | 12c | 161.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Yes | 29c | 160$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 147.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Yes | 21c | 140.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 77c | 137.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 52c | 131.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…54cfbacked No | 8c | 127.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…41ddbacked No | 13c | 126.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 27c | 125.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 124.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 20c | 123$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 66c | 120.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 23c | 113.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 13c | 111.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 48c | 105.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Yes | 74c | 104.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 94.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…ef06backed Yes | 23c | 88.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 23c | 68.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Yes | 50c | 63.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…367abacked Yes | 25c | 59.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…7f3abacked Yes | 34c | 59.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ba…6c31backed Yes | 27c | 55.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 79c | 51.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…c7c4backed Yes | 51c | 51.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 39c | 46.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…586ebacked Yes | 24c | 45.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 76c | 35.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Yes | 63c | 31.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 20.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?this page
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 10% and 12% of votes in the first round?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win less than 10% of votes in the first round?No won
- Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.