Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c2385c478731b8767e94dfc594274f86cebd0e22ce100636f08f33cc2236b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe964…4fe1backed No | 3c | 11,816$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 8c | 8,972$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.84 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…17b1backed No | 9c | 4,319$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 73c | 3,555$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.29 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 12c | 3,409$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,168$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7173backed No | 8c | 3,000$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…923cbacked No | 10c | 2,829$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 2,691$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.76 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed No | 16c | 2,380$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked No | 10c | 1,944$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.39per pick | 15cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed No | 18c | 1,758$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 17c | 1,732$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 14c | 1,645$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 78c | 1,619$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 8c | 1,495$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 1,465$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked No | 7c | 1,282$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…9cd9backed No | 1c | 1,217$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed No | 17c | 1,168$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed No | 5c | 1,109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…1c15backed No | 10c | 1,035$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 13c | 1,001$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.19 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…881dbacked No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 7c | 999.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…f7ddbacked No | 12c | 979.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 7c | 915.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 75c | 856.9$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.9 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…dc1fbacked No | 4c | 805.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed No | 11c | 784.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…ccc5backed No | 10c | 750$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…8c68backed No | 15c | 741.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…67e0backed No | 20c | 698.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 15c | 678.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…42eabacked No | 9c | 662.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…7598backed No | 5c | 651.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…7854backed No | 15c | 650$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed No | 8c | 591.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 78c | 541.94$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…716fbacked No | 20c | 538.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 509.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…3829backed No | 16c | 505.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…b427backed No | 5c | 483.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked No | 17c | 466.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…8e45backed No | 9c | 455.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 10c | 429.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…e082backed No | 4c | 429.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…61c9backed No | 29c | 420.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…6e64backed No | 24c | 416.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed No | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…1fe4backed No | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 67c | 333$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…b2e9backed Yes | 63c | 307.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…e0f8backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 13c | 296.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 31c | 287$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…43eabacked No | 12c | 277.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…46bbbacked No | 11c | 263$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 10c | 259.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…6975backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 14c | 240.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…e44ebacked No | 29c | 237.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 17c | 227.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd340…f2f0backed No | 7c | 213.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 60c | 210$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 69c | 188$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 27c | 185.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…28cabacked No | 11c | 177.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…2e31backed No | 11c | 175.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…44bfbacked No | 10c | 172.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…1015backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…fb65backed No | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed No | 9c | 170.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…4808backed No | 10c | 163$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…6305backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 19c | 151.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…5ddabacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…4b3cbacked No | 28c | 148.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…7965backed Yes | 70c | 142.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 18c | 140.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 32c | 125.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…b06abacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 19c | 123.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 14c | 113.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 12c | 112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…8ccbbacked No | 21c | 104.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…bf9bbacked No | 12c | 103.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…de32backed No | 15c | 100.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.