NFL · resolved market
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7891950cdaf47b9c7de5041234364196500a49594a23b0ee51d5f61c89d6caf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9db…5bebbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 9,088$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.56 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 3,950$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…1554backed Yes | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 33c | 2,158$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.28 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…f2e0backed Yes | 18c | 1,845$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d25…f8cfbacked No | 70c | 1,410$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ef…5d93backed No | 70c | 1,390$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,324$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed No | 59c | 1,167$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,018$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 79c | 724.87$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 11c | 625$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 608.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 27c | 557.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Yes | 36c | 551.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 544.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 79c | 485.09$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 14c | 478.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 42c | 470.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 34c | 385$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b93…0f1fbacked Yes | 24c | 383.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 12c | 365.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…c6e3backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 61c | 280$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…7a18backed Yes | 77c | 260.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…436ebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…d649backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 7c | 225.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 23c | 208.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed Yes | 53c | 189$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 43c | 185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…f905backed Yes | 22c | 183$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…5cb1backed Yes | 59c | 170.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 43c | 123.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 18c | 122.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bf…4cc3backed Yes | 10c | 121.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Yes | 25c | 119.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…ab49backed No | 52c | 106.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 17c | 88.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…010abacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…8781backed Yes | 59c | 73.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4236…270fbacked Yes | 58c | 72.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…9f9bbacked Yes | 60c | 70.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…897fbacked No | 52c | 62.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…c7a1backed Yes | 53c | 59.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 55.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked Yes | 56c | 52.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…b85fbacked No | 54c | 48.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…7bdabacked Yes | 75c | 46.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6b46backed No | 41c | 43.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…bc73backed Yes | 74c | 42.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…0e52backed Yes | 36c | 42.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Yes | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…d5f6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…fa45backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfab…3152backed Yes | 52c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…4dddbacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…15ffbacked No | 54c | 33.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…6ec3backed No | 41c | 29.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…3a87backed Yes | 50c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…5ad3backed No | 65c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952e…d242backed No | 55c | 18.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?this page
- Will Dan Quinn win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Jim Harbaugh win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Jonathan Gannon win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes won
- Will Mike Tomlin win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean McDermott win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
- Will Sean Payton win NFL Coach of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.