TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Kevin O'Connell win NFL Coach of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x001d…316dbacked Yes73c2,684$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9373…f905backed Yes75c2,684$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea70…b560backed Yes40c2,580$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Yes24c2,157$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.9711738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No30c1,838$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9519638.8%76 W · 120 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes77c1,781$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.4122434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f5…e043backed No60c1,350$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7618…3d6fbacked No60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4e…1370backed Yes74c1,044$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed No78c1,019$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…3d9cbacked No7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…1f38backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1741…b7babacked Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1238…434fbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3972…34eabacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked No14c792.48$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.644621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes76c721.13$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.531566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No23c696.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5152828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes71c638.69$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.619724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No52c522.02$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1815332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes44c513.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4716259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed No32c363.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7119436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b93…0f1fbacked No33c301.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa826…f823backed Yes65c291.58$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.131450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No11c272.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No26c268.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.527718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No19c220.12$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.666913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No57c195.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4641540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No24c181.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7831439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No23c178.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.149947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Yes79c150.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.736058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No24c128.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.061508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No56c121$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.223063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…8452backed No56c115.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a0…2891backed No26c105.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63a2…ed89backed No24c102.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No36c101.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8226830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e72…7277backed Yes54c96.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c72…1e3abacked Yes72c81.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2556…e220backed Yes37c80.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb2…56c3backed No27c76.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e45…f17bbacked No56c72.66$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5525…430fbacked No47c69.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b8…bccfbacked Yes43c68.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed No24c67.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.291809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad98…79e8backed Yes22c67.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6734…471cbacked No41c64.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes78c64.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.995129.4%15 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…5863backed No66c63.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa183…f629backed No73c61.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes79c59.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6159453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fc…2ab7backed Yes58c59.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe4…dc79backed Yes55c58.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d6…4c74backed Yes37c55.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No38c55.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.837546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked Yes69c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.859181.3%74 W · 17 L+15.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7080…43dfbacked No70c52.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd00b…a12fbacked Yes37c49.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e44…6e87backed No70c49.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea0a…dbeabacked Yes64c47.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1826…0046backed Yes77c46.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x411c…b99ebacked No26c45.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…c28dbacked Yes51c42.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bf…f797backed No71c41.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ce…b5e4backed Yes42c41.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0a…04aabacked No74c41.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb8…c07cbacked No26c40.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78f…0463backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5467…f02abacked Yes79c37.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed No32c36.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.534926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes30c36.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.584226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8576…91f2backed Yes76c36.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c3…add4backed No58c35.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fdd…e6c2backed Yes69c35.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e5…ac84backed Yes59c35.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0242…26b1backed Yes37c34.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9539…f8ddbacked Yes78c32.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6e…baddbacked Yes75c32.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.033100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…5cfbbacked Yes66c31.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c33…c968backed Yes54c31.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.451450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e7…1f0bbacked Yes77c30.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes65c30.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5285…f331backed No73c29.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Yes68c29.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc24c…0235backed No67c29.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb659…8e36backed No60c28.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb3…c17cbacked Yes76c27.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…e4f2backed Yes76c26.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d0…910abacked No43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+55.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…a251backed No52c23.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8254…9a79backed Yes45c22.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x619e…ec38backed Yes79c21.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d59…4dddbacked No73c21.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee1…6feebacked Yes69c20.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.